Seismic Hazard Evaluation of the North and Northwest Iranian Plate Considering the Bayesian Perspective

In the last hundred years alone, there have occurred more than 2000 earthquakes larger 4 in northern and northwestern parts of Iran. Because Iran is placed heart Alpine-Himalayan collision zone, which one world’s greatest seismic locations, massive regularly struck country. Seismic hazard assessment a realistic helpful method for engineering seismology to prevent motions location order forecast occurrence earthquakes. For parameter estimation assessments, Bayesian probability theory provides practical accurate technique. As result, techniques analysis are based on an older method. Furthermore, they unique capacity account variability characteristics probabilistic relationships. this assessment, we used earthquake risk program developed by Lyubushin. Our research sequence applications assess various universe. method, basic assumption that follow characteristic being Poisson. Its zoning map drawn north northwest regions The highest value was obtained city Tabriz with 0.29 galls, lowest Zanjan 0.06 galls.